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Fable 5pt1 Predictions & Odds· 143 markets

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N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

92%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Game of the Year

Culture·Games

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

68%

Grand Theft Auto VI

$51k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 28?

82%

Other

$1k Vol.
$923 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on October 5?

51%

Other

$797 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 13 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

97%

50%+

$27k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Tech·AI

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

37%

1470+

$43k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

80%

1500+

$106k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

99%

December 31

$38k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

95%

December 31

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

Tech·AI

Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 24

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

Tech·AI

Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 19

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?

Yes

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Tech·AI

Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?

Yes

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

Tech·AI

US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

June 30

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

Tech·AI

Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
535
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

Tech·AI

Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

September 30

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 21?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on September 14?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 17?

Tech·AI

Best AI model on August 17?

claude-opus-5-max

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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