Fable 5pt1 Predictions & Odds· 155 markets

N
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

91%

December 31

$28k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
The Game Awards: Game of the Year

The Game Awards: Game of the Year

68%

Grand Theft Auto VI

$48k Vol.
$23k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

77%

September 22

$285k Vol.
$87k Liq.
🔥$236k today
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

96%

45%+

$25k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Claude 6 released by...?

Claude 6 released by...?

91%

December 31, 2027

$27k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

23%

1470+

$33k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

99%

October 31

$281k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

96%

December 31

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

75%

1500+

$89k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Haiku released by...?

Next Claude Haiku released by...?

34%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$895 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 24

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Anthropic removes paid plan access for Fable 5 by...?

July 19

$46k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?

June 30

$257k Vol.
$0 Liq.
29
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?

July 1

$5.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
535
Ended
C
Claude Fable 5 restored for International customers by…?

September 30

$20k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 21?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$35k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on September 14?

claude-fable-5.1-max

$39k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
B
Best AI model on August 17?

Best AI model on August 17?

claude-opus-5-max

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended