Ethics Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$333 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$280k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

67%

↑ $0.80

$9k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

23%

55%+

$65k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$136 Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

62%

Bounty Hunters Esports

$0 Vol.
$432 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

74%

↑ $6

$844k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$799 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group A

65%

paiN

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
H
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%

60%+

$73k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

77%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
L
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

41%

Solary

$246 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

77%

55%+

$108k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$792k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

93%

55%+

$109k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs

57%

Alliance

$13 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 5 days