Eruption Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

E
Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?

11%

Yes

$21 Vol.
$49 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
V
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

7%

Yes

$660 Vol.
$15 Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

7%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$10k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
H
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

44%

1

$1.2m Vol.
$10k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$334 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

$795k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

11%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

98%

<5

$21k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
1
100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

3%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

87%

<5

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

25%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$709 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

15%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

97%

<5

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k Vol.
$139k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$949 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

91%

80-99

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 18 hours
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 5 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$541 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

37%

60-79

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days