Employment Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

4%

7.0%

$523k Vol.
$14k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

41%

4.1%

$25k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$478 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

30%

50k to 100k

$17k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

23%

7.0M to 7.1M

$24k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

70%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$99k Vol.
$4k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$298 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$262k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI resumes training by...?

OpenAI resumes training by...?

85%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI resumes training on...?

OpenAI resumes training on...?

16%

Not resumed by October 20

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

27%

Google

$86k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$115k Vol.
$140k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$755

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
E
EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

EPL · Soccer

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

50%

Manager A

$200 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

50%

↓ 0.16

$10k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

64%

↓ 0.0030

$195k Vol.
$62k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

23%

June 30, 2027

$831k Vol.
$4k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months