Employment Rate Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$18k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$449 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$13k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

29%

100k to 150k

$11k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

49%

0-1.0%

$54k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

25%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

34%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

55%

No Change

$101k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

99%

Up

$3k Vol.
$232 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

79%

25 bps increase

$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$152k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$29k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

42%

No change

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

57%

<2.75%

$597 Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

42%

-0.3% to -0.1%

$18k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

68%

No change

$179k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

27%

0.0%–0.8%

$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months