Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

17%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$265k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

28%

October 31

$48k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$883k Vol.
$139k Liq.
🔥$79k today
45
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

72%

December 31, 2027

$8.0m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$80k today
216
Ends in 9 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

13%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 days
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

15%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$12k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$31.4m Vol.
$347k Liq.
🔥$80k today
295
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

76%

October 31

$394 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.6m Vol.
$400k Liq.
🔥$367k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

17%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$951 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

25%

No Meeting by December 31

$23k Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 22

$58k Vol.
$66k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

9%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

17%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

54%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

80%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$221k Liq.
Ends in 9 months