Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

27%

October 31

$43k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$788k Vol.
$102k Liq.
36
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

19%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$11k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

3%

September 30

$13k Vol.
$33k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

16%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$11k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.3m Vol.
$357k Liq.
🔥$161k today
293
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

82%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 25

$2.2m Vol.
$512k Liq.
🔥$333k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

89%

December 31

$263k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 22

$31k Vol.
$77k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$80k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

15%

October 31

$9k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

49%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months