Diplomacy Ceasefire Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

U
US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?

2%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$254k Liq.
35
Ended
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

26%

October 31

$56k Vol.
$51k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

69%

December 31

$904k Vol.
$137k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

12%

December 31

$4.1m Vol.
$12k Liq.
979
Ends in 3 months
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

8%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ended
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 days
I
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%

December 31

$2.9m Vol.
$12k Liq.
357
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

96%

September 30

$31.6m Vol.
$325k Liq.
🔥$62k today
299
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

76%

October 31

$486 Vol.
$668 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$3.4m Vol.
$498k Liq.
🔥$563k today
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

18%

October 31

$16k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

1%

Yes

$98k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

90%

December 31

$299k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

100%

September 25

$68k Vol.
$48k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

61%

December 31, 2026

$70k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

10%

Yes

$2.8m Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

17%

December 31

$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

51%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months