Department Of Defense Predictions & Odds· 108 markets

W
Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

4%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

0%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 22 hours
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

6%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

22%

Yes

$476k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

2%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$190k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

31%

DeepSeek

$101k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

34%

CATL

$472k Vol.
$130k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

78%

March 31

$33.9m Vol.
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🔥$488k today
685
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

12%

Yes

$939 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

12%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$295 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$4.9m Vol.
$408k Liq.
🔥$218k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$577k Vol.
$6k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in about 22 hours
5
5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

20%

Yes

$314k Vol.
$666 Liq.
Ends in 5 months
E
European military action against Iran by...?

European military action against Iran by...?

11%

December 31

$328k Vol.
$25k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 30

$31.9m Vol.
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🔥$95k today
300
Ends in 3 months
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

3%

Yes

$80k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months