Demograohic Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

89%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

98%

Up

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

91%

Up

$2k Vol.
$52 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

28%

12

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$359 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Next Claude Opus released on...?

39%

September 21

$49k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

100%

Russia

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

44%

370K-400K

$11k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

33%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

47%

Israel

$7k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

83%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

4%

Yes

$840 Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$238k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

75%

$1.25-$1.50T

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

83%

Tesla

$5k Vol.
$852 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
H
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

77%

400-500k

$125k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$564k Vol.
$6k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year