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Demograohic 预测与赔率· 100 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoFinanceTrumpTwitterAirdropsElectionsCanadaCelebritiesAIOpenAIAnthropicCultureTweet MarketsFranceImmigrationTechCelebrityGlobal ElectionsGermanyGeopoliticsTweetMentionsTruth SocialPollingTurnoutPolitcsElon TweetsRecurringWorldDeportationBig TechMacro IndicatorsFeaturedMidtermsMegaETHElonPre MarketPopulationClaudeSaxony AnhaltBerlinMecklenburg VorpommernHawaii MidtermGovernor MidtermsGerman ElectionsPrivatesAnthropic IPOFrench Senate ElectionsInternational Election PropsClaude OpusAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksMidterm MOVAfDAI Achievements
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

World·population

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

89%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3
7 个月后结束
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

World·AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

97%

Up

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 个月后结束
B
Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

Politics·Berlin

Berlin State Election: Turnout Up or Down?

91%

Up

$2k 交易量
$89 流动性
4 个月后结束
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

Politics·France

National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

29%

12

$8k 交易量
$3k 流动性
22 天后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

16%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$355 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released on...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released on...?

35%

September 21

$45k 交易量
$27k 流动性
10 天后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
7 天后结束
H
Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

Politics·turnout

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

44%

370K-400K

$11k 交易量
$75k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

39%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
S
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

World·Germany

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$7k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
4 个月后结束
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

Mentions·Trump

What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k 交易量
$82 流动性
12 分钟后结束
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

Politics·Polling

Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$2k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
W
Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

Culture·politcs

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?

4%

Yes

$840 交易量
$1k 流动性
3
3 个月后结束
N
Next Claude Opus released by...?

Tech·AI

Next Claude Opus released by...?

98%

December 31

$236k 交易量
$27k 流动性
🔥$52k 今日
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

Finance·Claude

Anthropic’s valuation end of September 2026?

74%

$1.25-$1.50T

$1k 交易量
$6k 流动性
10 天后结束
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Finance·Claude

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

39%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k 交易量
$11k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

Tech·Elon

What will Elon post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

94%

Tesla

$5k 交易量
$2k 流动性
7 天后结束
H
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Politics·Immigration

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

72%

400-500k

$125k 交易量
$95k 流动性
3 个月后结束
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Crypto·Airdrops

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

39%

December 31, 2027

$564k 交易量
$6k 流动性
38
超过 1 年后结束

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