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Debt Predictions & Odds· 175 markets

AllPoliticsDeprec USA ElectionBusinessTrumpElectionsU.S. PoliticsChinaUS GovernmentCaliforniaGovernmentReferendumCongressReal EstateUS ElectionFranceEconomyCreatorsTrump PresidencyAll In2025 PredictionsDebtRecurringEconomic PolicyWorldBig Beautiful BillTrump Vs ElonCalifornia Midterm
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

25%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$128 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Politics·Recurring

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

8%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$434 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
US defaults on debt by 2027?

Politics·Recurring

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%

Yes

$18k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Politics·Recurring

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

57%

$41 trillion

$18k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

Politics·California

California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

62%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$836 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

Yes

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

All

Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

July 1

$497k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

World · Politics

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Yes

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

Business · China

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

No

$6k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
A
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Economy·France

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Yes

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
F
France debt downgrade by December 31?

Politics·France

France debt downgrade by December 31?

Yes

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

No

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Economy·Creators

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Yes

$656k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
U
US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

No

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

Politics · Economy

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

No

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
P
Peak US National Debt this year?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Peak US National Debt this year?

$37 trillion

$131k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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