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Debt Predictions & Odds· 165 markets

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Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

All

Will 140 or more House Republicans vote for the debt ceiling deal by June 4?

Yes

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W
Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

All

Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th?

$2k Vol.
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W
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

All

Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30?

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W

All

Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th?

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U
US debt ceiling hike by...?

All

US debt ceiling hike by...?

July 1

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A
Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

World · Politics

Any EU nation's debt downgraded before 2027?

Yes

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Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

Business · China

Will Vanke default on debt by December 31?

No

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A
Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Economy·France

Another France debt downgrade by December 31?

Yes

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F
France debt downgrade by December 31?

Politics·France

France debt downgrade by December 31?

Yes

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D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before July?

No

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Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Economy·Creators

Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?

Yes

$656k Vol.
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U
US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

No

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A
Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

Politics · Economy

Another US debt downgrade in 2025?

No

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P
Peak US National Debt this year?

Politics·Trump vs Elon

Peak US National Debt this year?

$37 trillion

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U
US debt downgrade in 2025?

Economy · Politics

US debt downgrade in 2025?

Yes

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D
Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling abolished before Trump inauguration?

No

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10
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D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

Politics·Debt Ceiling

Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?

No

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8
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D
Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Debt ceiling raised or suspended before June?

No

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What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Culture·Movies

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

72 Hours

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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Culture·Movies

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

The Last House

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