Cricjclt10 Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

34%

↓ $8

$140 Vol.
$792 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

57%

↑ $25

$1k Vol.
$911 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$150k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

88%

Other

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

59%

1470+

$59k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best AI model on September 28?

Best AI model on September 28?

99%

Other

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
F
FDA approves Unicycive’s Oxylanthanum Carbonate (OLC)?

No

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
32
Ended
F
FDA approves Insmed’s Brensocatib for bronchiectasis?

Yes

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
#
# of CRA seats after the 2026 Japanese snap election?

<150

$36k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 MedTech revenue be above __?

$8.8B

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?

Yes

$778 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
FDA approves Dordaviprone?

FDA approves Dordaviprone?

Yes

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
F
FDA approves UX111?

FDA approves UX111?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended