Climate Weather Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$345 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

92%

Miami, FL

$792 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

100%

Washington, DC

$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

51%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$767 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

95%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$211k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?

100%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$241 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

98%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

81%

Yes

$951 Vol.
$491 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?

40%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$55 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Highest temperature in London on September 22?

100%

25°C

$138k Vol.
$150k Liq.
🔥$99k today
Ended
H
Highest temperature in London on September 24?

43%

22°C

$2k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 23?

Lowest temperature in London on September 23?

50%

16°C

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 22?

99%

15°C

$10k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ended
H
Highest temperature in London on September 23?

Highest temperature in London on September 23?

60%

24°C

$32k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
L
Lowest temperature in London on September 24?

36%

11°C

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day