Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$974k Vol.
$311k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$350 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$853 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

50%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

74%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$217k Liq.
27
Ends in 5 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

42%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

67%

↑ $6

$848k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

98%

2nd hottest

$4k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What price will LAB hit in 2026?

What price will LAB hit in 2026?

6%

↑ $22

$46k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

60%

↑ 0.24

$6k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Where will it rain on September 23?

91%

Miami, FL

$792 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$572k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k Vol.
$1k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$767 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$403 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 23?

94%

$85

$6 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 23 hours