Climate Change Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

10%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$948k Vol.
$138k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$327 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$222 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

99%

Denver, CO by November 30

$12k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

52%

1.35–1.39ºC

$2k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 18 days
W
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

75%

1

$3.5m Vol.
$264k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

44%

↓ 0.40

$79k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

67%

↑ $6

$846k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

38%

December 31, 2027

$567k Vol.
$4k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

28%

↑ 0.30

$304k Vol.
$950 Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?

98%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$810 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Where will it rain on September 21?

Where will it rain on September 21?

100%

New York, NY

$7k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 20 hours
W
What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

17%

↓ 2 ETH

$4k Vol.
$399 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will it rain on September 22?

Where will it rain on September 22?

51%

New York, NY

$200 Vol.
$519 Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
What price will Solana hit in 2026?

What price will Solana hit in 2026?

97%

↑ 120

$2.0m Vol.
$331k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will BNB hit in 2026?

What price will BNB hit in 2026?

41%

↓ 600

$177k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$707k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?

76%

Yes

$839 Vol.
$575 Liq.
Ends in 6 months