Chuck Schumer Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

N
Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

40%

John Thune

$159k Vol.
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2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

41%

September 30

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$107 Liq.
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B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

84%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

43%

Michigan

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Ends in about 1 month
C
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
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5
Ends in 3 months
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
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2
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I
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

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Ends in 9 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

7%

Yes

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"
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

77%

Not revealed in 2026

$17k Vol.
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5
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W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

21%

Yes

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29
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R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
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10
Ends in 4 months
M
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Other

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M
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

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W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

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2
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B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
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🔥$154k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
W
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

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C
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory

Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
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L
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month