Chuck Schumer Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

39%

John Thune

$160k Vol.
$270k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

41%

October 31

$1k Vol.
$195 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

83%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$10k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

43%

Michigan

$4k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

17%

Dilution of Iran's Uranium

$945k Vol.
$238k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

6%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Illinois Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

21%

Yes

$561k Vol.
$1k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
M
Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Montana Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Massachusetts Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

95%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$749 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

61%

Democrats Sweep

$12.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$164k today
292
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kentucky Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
West Virginia Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$11k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory

Colorado Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$4k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
L
Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

Louisiana Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$2k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Ted Cruz # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

55%

100-119

$717 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month