Capital Expenditures Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

S
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

41%

Yes

$77k Vol.
$1k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

12%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$484 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

18%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$269 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Sports · Basketball

Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Cleveland State Vikings

$832 Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

5%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$223 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

57%

CGT increase

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

52%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

50%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$35 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

26%

Yes

$551 Vol.
$118 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

45%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$563 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

26%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

31%

Yes

$538 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

44%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

30%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026

42%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.
$472 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026

71%

Stripe

$824 Vol.
$57 Liq.
Ends in 8 days