Capital Expenditures Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

S
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

39%

Yes

$75k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

9%

Yes

$117k Vol.
$116 Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

11%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$467 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

21%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$132 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Sports · Basketball

Capital Comets vs. Cleveland State Vikings

Cleveland State Vikings

$832 Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

64%

CGT increase

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
C
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

52%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - greater valuation growth September 2026

55%

Anthropic

$342 Vol.
$68 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

49%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$777 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%

Anthropic

$227 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
C
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

34%

Yes

$533 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

Anthropic’s valuation end of October 2026?

38%

$1.50-$1.75T

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

36%

$900B-$1.00T

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Private Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026

42%

Anthropic

$0 Vol.
$428 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

48%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Stripe vs Databricks - greater valuation growth September 2026

65%

Stripe

$824 Vol.
$71 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?

39%

$2.25T+

$8k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month