Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 219 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$113k Vol.
$164k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

$74k Vol.
$230k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

39%

5

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

32%

S + MP

$28k Vol.
$237k Liq.
4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

71%

PSD

$32k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$157k Vol.
$119k Liq.
6
Ends in 4 months
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
$415k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
11
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

15%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

$28k Vol.
$190k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
N
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

94%

Andris Kulbergs

$5k Vol.
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Ends in 9 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$563 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$356k Vol.
$16k Liq.
112
Ends in 17 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

61%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$239 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

36%

Kristi Noem

$1.4m Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

25%

No Meeting by December 31

$23k Vol.
$129k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

29%

0.0%–0.8%

$28k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$404 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

December 31, 2026

$32k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$143 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

22%

October 31

$60k Vol.
$73k Liq.
🔥$57k today
7
Ends in about 1 month