Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 223 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

57%

None before 2027

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H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

39%

5

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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
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🔥$61k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

32%

S + MP

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4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

70%

PSD

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3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

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6
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W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

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8
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W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
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11
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W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

21%

PSD + PNL + USR + AUR

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N
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

93%

Andris Kulbergs

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

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L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

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W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

36%

Kristi Noem

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W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

38%

USA

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J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

25%

0.0%–0.8%

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W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

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N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

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J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

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1
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