Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 221 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

50%

None before 2027

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H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

39%

5

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W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

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8
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W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

31%

S + MP

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4
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W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

72%

PSD

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3
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W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

86%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

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5
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W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

45%

National + ACT + NZF

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8
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W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

74%

Green Party

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11
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W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

15%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

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N
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

93%

Andris Kulbergs

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

64%

December 31

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T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

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L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

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W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

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W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

53%

USA

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J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

27%

0.8%–1.6%

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W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

9%

Yes

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N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

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J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

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