Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 219 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$169k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
H
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

42%

5

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

30%

S + MP

$26k Vol.
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4
Ends in 10 months
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

72%

PSD

$32k Vol.
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3
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

85%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$147k Vol.
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5
Ends in 4 months
W
Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

46%

National + ACT + NZF

$56k Vol.
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8
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?

73%

Green Party

$2k Vol.
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11
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

15%

PSD + PNL + UDMR

$28k Vol.
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N
Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

93%

Andris Kulbergs

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Ends in 11 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

63%

December 31

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Ends in 3 months
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

27%

December 31, 2026

$356k Vol.
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112
Ends in 18 days
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

60%

October 31

$3k Vol.
$350 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

29%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
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W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

34%

USA

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J
Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?

27%

0.0%–0.8%

$28k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

7%

Yes

$10k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

87%

December 31, 2026

$7k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$156 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
U
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

43%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month