Ayatollah Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

T
Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

Yes

$200k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

26%

June 30, 2027

$26.0m Vol.
$697k Liq.
1,089
Ends in 9 months
I
Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

85%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$39.5m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
155
Ends in 3 months
U
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

4%

Yes

$638k Vol.
$26k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
P
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

98%

Yes

$12k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$999k Vol.
$277k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

3%

Yes

$11.8m Vol.
$97k Liq.
53
Ends in 3 months
N
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

88%

December 31, 2026

$10k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

35%

USA

$14k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

Yes

$26.2m Vol.
$673k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Nothing Ever Happens: September

98%

Nothing

$2k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Trump praise Allah again by September 30?

7%

Yes

$570 Vol.
$198 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%

Yes

$22.1m Vol.
$106k Liq.
432
Ends in 3 months
I
Iran coup attempt by...?

Iran coup attempt by...?

9%

Yes

$2.1m Vol.
$21k Liq.
25
Ends in 3 months
M
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

7%

Yes

$871k Vol.
$15k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

62%

December 31

$31.1m Vol.
$411k Liq.
🔥$581k today
602
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%

Yes

$626k Vol.
$14k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?

22%

October 31

$33k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?

11%

December 31

$57k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months