Autonomous Vehicles Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

J
Jewish Autonomous Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner

95%

United Russia

$3k Vol.
$50k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
C
Chukotka Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner

98%

United Russia

$11k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
K
Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament Election: Party Winner

96%

United Russia

$6k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$815 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$331 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$288k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

14%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$164 Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
$305 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

96%

October 31

$691k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

40%

December 31, 2027

$562k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

29%

Google

$58k Vol.
$52k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

7%

Yes

$22k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

52%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$507 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?

6%

Yes

$8k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

88%

Google

$24k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

42%

$200M

$475k Vol.
$202k Liq.
14
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month