Artificial Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 118 markets

W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

86%

Terror / Terrorism

$27k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 days
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

91%

Israel 10+ times

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

34%

Zohran Mamdani

$55k Vol.
$513k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

96%

Money

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
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W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$874 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$29k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

33%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$205 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$416 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

53%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

7%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
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T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

33%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

62%

Anthropic

$83k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

12%

Yes

$3.0m Vol.
$18k Liq.
96
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

26%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

65%

Alibaba

$47k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 10 days