Artificial Intelligence Predictions & Odds· 121 markets

W
What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?

85%

Terror / Terrorism

$23k Vol.
$15k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

94%

Abraham Accords

$5k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

35%

Zohran Mamdani

$53k Vol.
$526k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 14 - September 20)

50%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

$9k Vol.
$454 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (September 23)

94%

Money

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$920 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
W
What will BlackBerry say during their next earnings call?

98%

Quarter 15+ times

$494 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%

Yes

$264k Vol.
$23k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

34%

Yes

$284 Vol.
$279 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

57%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

7%

Yes

$444 Vol.
$261 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$540 Vol.
$966 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$40k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

75%

Anthropic

$80k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

9%

Yes

$3.0m Vol.
$17k Liq.
96
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

64%

Alibaba

$46k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 11 days