Approval Rating Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

48%

38.0–38.4

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

73%

37%

$146k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

10%

↑ 47%

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

20%

Up

$670 Vol.
$145 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
"
"Verity" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Verity" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

79%

50+

$3k Vol.
$895 Liq.
Ends in 13 days
"
"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

98%

70+

$16k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
"
"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

33%

60+

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 17 days
A
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

11%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$387 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
"
"Heart of the Beast" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

99%

50+

$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$117k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

50%

October 31

$18k Vol.
$460 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$253 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

1%

Food initiative

$56k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
E
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Economy · World

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

22%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$125 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
"
"Forgotten Island" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

98%

80+

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$71k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
N
Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

46%

1.125M-1.2M

$12k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

59%

Other

$797 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 13 days