Approval Rating Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

T
Trump approval rating on September 25?

51%

38.0–38.4

$4k Vol.
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Ends in 3 days
H
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

55%

37%

$145k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

11%

↑ 47%

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Ends in 3 months
T
Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

20%

Up

$670 Vol.
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Ends in 3 days
"
"Verity" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Verity" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

79%

40+

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"
"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Primetime" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

98%

70+

$16k Vol.
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Ends in 10 days
"
"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

"Digger" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

31%

60+

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"
"Heart of the Beast" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

99%

50+

$4k Vol.
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O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$4k Vol.
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3
Ends in about 1 month
F
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

$117k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

67%

October 31

$18k Vol.
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Ends in 8 days
S
Switzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?

2%

Neutrality initiative

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

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"
"Forgotten Island" Rotten Tomatoes Score?

98%

80+

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W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

34%

Google

$65k Vol.
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2
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N
Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

46%

1.125M-1.2M

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Ends in 6 months
I
Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by...?

97%

Yes

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7
Ended
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

19%

OpenAI

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1
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R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

99%

Yes

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8
Ended
B
Best AI model on October 5?

Best AI model on October 5?

50%

claude-fable-5.1-max

$285 Vol.
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Ends in 13 days