Anthropic Predictions & Odds· 272 markets

A
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

75%

December 31, 2026

$3.6m Vol.
$170k Liq.
🔥$88k today
49
Ends in 9 months
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

24%

$2.0–$2.25T

$870k Vol.
$184k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

Anthropic

$384k Vol.
$53k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

48%

November 2026

$252k Vol.
$61k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

21%

December 31, 2029

$48k Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
1
Ends in over 3 years
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

96%

600B+

$496k Vol.
$180k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

83%

1.8T+

$460k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$63k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$23k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

37%

December 31, 2026

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

73%

Yes

$199k Vol.
$4k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%

Yes

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$1.5T

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

47%

October 31

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

77%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$560 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

19%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

59%

OpenAI

$491 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year