Aligned Layer Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

T
Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

98%

December 31

$582k Vol.
$146k Liq.
🔥$156k today
Ends in 3 months
C
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%

Yes

$22.6m Vol.
$377k Liq.
🔥$113k today
379
Ends in 3 months
H
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

Yes

$192k Vol.
$19k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

Trump x Taliban mineral deal signed in 2026?

9%

Yes

$348 Vol.
$181 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

27%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$59k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
L
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs UP2UMEDIA Cebulaki (BO3) - Rift Legends Gauntlet Stage
$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: Village vs TenToesDown (BO3) - FRAG Midwest St. Louis Group D

27%

Village

$12 Vol.
$83 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Orbit Anonymo (BO3) - Rift Legends Gauntlet Stage
$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
C
Counter-Strike: GoldRashers vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

48%

GoldRashers

$261 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Arctic Pandas (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

94%

Skillcamp Esport

$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028?

Soccer · Sports

Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028?

50%

Yes

$90 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
L
LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Kits Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs

$289k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
D
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

57%

Conventus Stellarum

$3k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%

Yes

$24k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
D
Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

24%

Team Kinetix

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended
L
LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

Esports · league of legends

LoL: Solary vs ZSK (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group D

65%

Solary

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
D
Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A

Esports · Dota 2

Dota 2: Cake Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A

55%

Cake Team

$26 Vol.
$663 Liq.
Ends in about 19 hours
C
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

50%

Benched gods

$27 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ended