Airspace Predictions & Odds· 418 markets

I
Iran full airspace closure by...?

Iran · close

Iran full airspace closure by...?

23%

December 31

$9.7m Vol.
$44k Liq.
1,015
Ends in 4 months
I
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

18%

December 31

$82k Vol.
$79k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi airspace closed by...?

Saudi airspace closed by...?

23%

December 31

$22k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

9%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

14%

December 31

$55k Vol.
$42k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

98%

September 25

$2.6m Vol.
$404k Liq.
🔥$336k today
Ends in about 1 month
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

50%

September 3

$66 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

4%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

98%

September 24

$548k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel military action against Syria by...?

31%

October 31

$63k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
R
Russia military action against EU country by...?

17%

December 31

$69k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

17%

December 31

$9k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

65%

December 31

$27k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
N
NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

32%

December 31

$7.7m Vol.
$270k Liq.
🔥$73k today
246
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

25%

October 31

$103k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

10%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

76%

Friedrich Merz

$547k Vol.
$45k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Clavicular visit in 2026?

48%

Japan

$31k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
U
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 22

$55k Vol.
$68k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month