AI Predictions & Odds· 2081 markets

T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

26%

Yes

$150k Vol.
$19k Liq.
🔥$101k today
19
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.9m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$89k today
Ends in 7 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

91%

Alibaba

$607k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

63%

OpenAI

$202k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$166k Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

74%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$990k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

93%

Google

$40k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

27%

Google

$73k Vol.
$43k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI bubble burst by...?

AI bubble burst by...?

21%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m Vol.
$43k Liq.
97
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$373k Vol.
$462k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

64%

Anthropic

$95k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

69%

Anthropic

$33k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

54%

Hodge Conjecture

$184k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

83%

December 31, 2027

$307k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

56%

Alibaba

$51k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

33%

1560

$225k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

96%

Anthropic

$72k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

94%

Anthropic

$55k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

91%

Anthropic

$232k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 days