AI Predictions & Odds· 346 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$993k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

89%

Alibaba

$568k Vol.
$101k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

47%

0

$143k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

70%

OpenAI

$173k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

9%

Yes

$34k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

66%

Hodge Conjecture

$179k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

7%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

31%

Google

$65k Vol.
$75k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$366k Vol.
$463k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$302k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

67%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

67%

Anthropic

$13k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

76%

Anthropic

$27k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$244k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

70%

Anthropic

$88k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

74%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

82%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

84%

OpenAI

$46k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month