AI Predictions & Odds· 355 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$993k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

90%

Alibaba

$569k Vol.
$114k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k Vol.
$78k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

44%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

70%

OpenAI

$174k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

87%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

61%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

92%

Anthropic

$230k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

78%

Anthropic

$68k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

26%

Google

$65k Vol.
$62k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$366k Vol.
$463k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

58%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

64%

Anthropic

$28k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

85%

Google

$28k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$303k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

68%

Anthropic

$88k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

91%

OpenAI

$64k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days