AI Predictions & Odds· 322 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$83k today
Ends in 12 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$326k Vol.
$731k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$279k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

60%

Hodge Conjecture

$165k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

94%

Alibaba

$482k Vol.
$102k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

76%

OpenAI

$153k Vol.
$81k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

42%

0

$112k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

72%

Alibaba

$96k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

56%

Hodge Conjecture

$23k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

23%

Google

$57k Vol.
$54k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

80%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

73%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

73%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$968k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

74%

Anthropic

$3k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

13%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months