AI Technology Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

I
IPOs before 2027?

IPOs before 2027?

75%

Anthropic

$7.4m Vol.
$110k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$266k Vol.
$24k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
C
Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

32%

Yes

$318 Vol.
$199 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

10%

Yes

$136k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

55%

Alibaba

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

64%

Z.ai

$128k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$31k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

66%

Alibaba

$102k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

50%

Other

$17k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$546k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$58k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

58%

Google

$41k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$27k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month