AI Regulation Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (July 31)

AI 35+ times

$8k Vol.
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W
What will PayPal say during their next earnings call?

Quarter 15+ times

$25k Vol.
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W
What will Trump say during Wisconsin events?

Million / Billion / Trillion 25+ times

$77k Vol.
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8
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What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

AI / Artificial Intelligence 20+ times

$23k Vol.
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W
What will Eli Lilly say during their next earnings call?

Mounjaro

$12k Vol.
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3
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What will Google say during their next earnings call?

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$42k Vol.
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9
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U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?

No

$129k Vol.
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A
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

Yes

$91k Vol.
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49
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

May 31

$409k Vol.
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51
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O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

All · OpenAI

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?

No

$907k Vol.
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54
Ended
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2025?

No

$337k Vol.
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31
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O
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?

No

$114k Vol.
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4
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W
Will OpenAI's Astra model debut as #1? (Text Arena)

No

$25k Vol.
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Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump say during Coal Announcement?

Job 10+ times

$32k Vol.
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O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?

No

$195k Vol.
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22
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N
Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition

Yes

$169k Vol.
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36
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#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

Meta

$100k Vol.
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O
OpenAI’s Astra Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+

$54k Vol.
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Ends in 3 months
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#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

Google

$68k Vol.
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