AI Development Predictions & Odds· 225 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$72k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

7%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$557k Vol.
$113k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

71%

OpenAI

$169k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$362k Vol.
$676k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

25%

Yes

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

61%

Hodge Conjecture

$178k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

46%

0

$135k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

84%

OpenAI

$46k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$301k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

66%

Anthropic

$87k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

73%

Z.ai

$133k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$111k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

87%

Anthropic

$36k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

88%

Meta

$89k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

61%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$11k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months