AI Development Predictions & Odds· 225 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.7m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$73k today
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$987k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%

Yes

$149k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$362k Vol.
$455k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

65%

OpenAI

$167k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$553k Vol.
$116k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

46%

0

$135k Vol.
$85k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

84%

OpenAI

$46k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$301k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

69%

Moonshot

$64k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

73%

Z.ai

$133k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

84%

Google

$111k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

86%

Anthropic

$36k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

69%

Anthropic

$86k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
#
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

88%

Meta

$89k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$11k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

35%

Google

$61k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

54%

Hodge Conjecture

$174k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year