AI Benchmarks Predictions & Odds· 224 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$78k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$990k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

89%

Alibaba

$568k Vol.
$107k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

71%

OpenAI

$173k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

8%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

58%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

31%

Google

$65k Vol.
$60k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$366k Vol.
$460k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

90%

Anthropic

$228k Vol.
$77k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

64%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

66%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

64%

Anthropic

$28k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$302k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

85%

Google

$28k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$244k Vol.
$23k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

69%

Anthropic

$88k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

81%

Anthropic

$6k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

76%

Z.ai

$134k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days