AI Benchmarks Predictions & Odds· 226 markets

W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

98%

Anthropic

$3.8m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$114k today
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

71%

Anthropic

$1.4m Vol.
$961k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump renames AI by September 30?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

47%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$8k Liq.
10
Ends in 8 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

90%

Alibaba

$569k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$146k Vol.
$82k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

70%

OpenAI

$174k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of November?

86%

Anthropic

$12k Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

62%

Hodge Conjecture

$180k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

93%

Anthropic

$230k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

78%

Anthropic

$68k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$366k Vol.
$464k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

30%

Google

$65k Vol.
$61k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$36k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

58%

Anthropic

$14k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$107k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

64%

Anthropic

$28k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

85%

Google

$28k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

91%

OpenAI

$64k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

67%

Anthropic

$88k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$245k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months