6 More Weeks Of Winter Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

F
First snow of the 2026 season

First snow of the 2026 season

98%

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

38%

5.9%+

$15k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of September?

24%

Japan

$5k Vol.
$356 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide  September 28 - October 4?

56%

0

$2k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

30%

Florida

$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026

17%

6.8M to 6.9M

$659 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GDP growth in 2026

GDP growth in 2026

51%

>2.5%

$85k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

9%

Yes

$248k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
H
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

74%

7.9 or below

$6k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

56%

2 (50 bps)

$770k Vol.
$197k Liq.
🔥$67k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Will there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?

96%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$699 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%

Yes

$328k Vol.
$198k Liq.
🔥$143k today
Ends in 2 months
M
Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

98%

4.4-4.6m sq km

$92k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 2 days
E
Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 29, 2026

99%

Oklahoma

$9k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
L
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

50%

-1.00 to 0.99 ft

$11k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
Japan recession in 2026?

Japan recession in 2026?

5%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$170 Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of September 28 2026?

66%

↑ $3.10

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.6m Vol.
$4.0m Liq.
123
Ends in 3 months
N
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?

62%

No change

$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
S
September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

September 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

57%

1.35–1.39ºC

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month