4th Of July Predictions & Odds· 145 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$2k Vol.
$86k Liq.
1
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

15%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$269k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 28?

98%

$745

$665 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$299 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

73%

March 31

$32.3m Vol.
$499k Liq.
🔥$635k today
635
Ends in 3 months
S
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

97%

October 31

$723k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

37%

December 31

$989k Vol.
$2k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$6k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

63%

VAT federal decree

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

90%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
S
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

86%

Yes

$682 Vol.
$115 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

14%

December 31

$2.0m Vol.
$261k Liq.
35
Ended
K
Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Blasters Cochin

50%

Palakad Patriots

$11 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

74%

China

$775 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

86%

Trump

$493 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

21%

Yes

$252k Vol.
$18k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

13%

Up

$2k Vol.
$338 Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

99%

September 25

$3.1m Vol.
$402k Liq.
🔥$289k today
Ends in about 1 month