4th Of July Predictions & Odds· 146 markets

B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

50%

Candidate A

$5k Vol.
$152k Liq.
1
Ends in 4 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.2m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$63k today
8
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 29?

100%

$745

$22k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$291 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
S
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on September 30?

99%

$740

$143 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
U
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

75%

March 31

$33.6m Vol.
$501k Liq.
🔥$603k today
677
Ends in 3 months
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

49%

December 31

$990k Vol.
$15k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

62%

VAT federal decree

$11k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

37%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$135 Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
S
SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

SCOTUS invalidates AR-15 bans?

65%

Yes

$768 Vol.
$64 Liq.
Ends in 10 months
R
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

12%

December 31

$2.1m Vol.
$300k Liq.
39
Ends in 3 months
K
Kuwait Kerala Premier League T20: Palakad Patriots vs Blasters Cochin

50%

Palakad Patriots

$11 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$24k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

84%

China

$3k Vol.
$772 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

94%

Iran

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
U
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

16%

Yes

$256k Vol.
$19k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
S
SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

6%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

45%

Up

$2k Vol.
$247 Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
U
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

97%

September 30

$4.7m Vol.
$397k Liq.
🔥$227k today
Ends in about 1 month