2024 Republican Presidential Nomination Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

R
Republika Srpska Presidential Election

59%

Savo Minić

$15k Vol.
$100k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$122 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$49k Vol.
$862k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

61%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$698 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

59%

Iowa

$1k Vol.
$765 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

50%

Person A

$20k Vol.
$142k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

32%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

26%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

62%

2

$30k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

96%

JD Vance

$4k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

90%

Democrats

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$93k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

39%

22–23

$697k Vol.
$71k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

63%

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

65%

Yes

$411 Vol.
$89 Liq.
Ends in 4 months