2024 Ballot Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

2
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

96%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$421k Vol.
$427k Liq.
103
Ends in 7 months
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

71%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$823 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

43%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
I
IN-04 House Election Winner

IN-04 House Election Winner

94%

Jim Baird (R)

$13k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AZ-04 House Election Winner

AZ-04 House Election Winner

95%

Greg Stanton (D)

$37k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?

64%

Yes

$182 Vol.
$411 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

82%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

36%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

55%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$317 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
KY-04 House Election Winner

KY-04 House Election Winner

96%

Ed Gallrein (R)

$45k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

95%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$764 Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

52%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$133 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
M
MA-04 House Election Winner

MA-04 House Election Winner

97%

Jake Auchincloss (D)

$47k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
AR-04 House Election Winner

AR-04 House Election Winner

97%

Bruce Westerman (R)

$24k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
O
OK-04 House Election Winner

OK-04 House Election Winner

94%

Tom Cole (R)

$28k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month