Third Party 预测与赔率· 226 个市场

W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$58k 交易量
$48k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
N
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

New Zealand Election: 3rd Place

51%

New Zealand First Party

$16k 交易量
$50k 流动性
1
大约 2 个月后结束
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

75%

New People (NL)

$165k 交易量
$441k 流动性
🔥$58k 今日
1
大约 8 小时后结束
B
Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

Berlin State Election: 3rd Place

59%

AfD

$48k 交易量
$141k 流动性
1 天后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$540 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

50%

Renan Santos

$1.3m 交易量
$914k 流动性
136
14 天后结束
T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

16%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$9k 流动性
11 天后结束
S
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

50%

Other

$2k 交易量
$55k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
C
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?

19%

Yes

$476 交易量
$335 流动性
1
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

56%

OpenAI

$491 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
A
Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner

82%

Democrat

$2k 交易量
$20k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
K
Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

42%

December 31

$413 交易量
$10k 流动性
3 个月后结束
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

69%

Yes

$331 交易量
$252 流动性
4 个月后结束
T
Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

Trump announces Canada tariff decrease by...?

54%

December 31

$1k 交易量
$912 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

Trump announces Canada tariff increase by...?

59%

October 31

$3k 交易量
$9k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

26%

Yes

$12k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
I
Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?

5%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$10k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
B
Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

51%

SDP BiH

$2k 交易量
$2k 流动性
15 天后结束
M
Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

92%

Dems sweep

$9k 交易量
$104k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束
G
Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

56%

Dems sweep

$7k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 2 个月后结束