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Robot Dreams 预测与赔率· 102 个市场

全部PoliticsAwardsScienceBusinessTrumpAirdropsElon MuskSam AltmanChinaEntertainmentAIOpenAIAnthropicCultureXi JinpingTeslaFilmOscarsAnimationFilm & TvTechThe Boy And The HeronElementalAnimated Feature FilmNimonaRobot DreamsSpider ManGeopoliticsChatgptRecurringBig TechMathOptimusRobotTrump XiHumanoidClaudeDario AmodeiMoonshotDebutFigureF.03SonnetAI ReleasesAI RankingsAI BenchmarksAI RegulationCMIMillennium PrizeAI AchievementsAI Safety
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

Tech·humanoid

Will Tesla release Optimus by...?

14%

Yes

$127k 交易量
$4k 流动性
16
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Tech·AI

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

14%

October 15

$5k 交易量
$985 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

Tech·Elon Musk

Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?

14%

Yes

$32k 交易量
$156 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

Tech·AI

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

82%

October 31, 2026

$4k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
W
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

Tech·AI

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

13%

#3

$247k 交易量
$22k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

Tech·AI

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

9%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$18k 流动性
3 个月后结束
F
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

Tech·AI

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

33%

Yes

$2k 交易量
$1k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Tech·AI

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 交易量
$3k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

Tech·AI

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

57%

0

$155k 交易量
$62k 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

34%

1470+

$51k 交易量
$7k 流动性
3 个月后结束
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2 个月后结束
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Tech·AI

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

38%

Google

$79k 交易量
$4k 流动性
3
大约 1 个月后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$4k 交易量
$4k 流动性
2 个月后结束
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

56%

Z.ai

$137k 交易量
$15k 流动性
6 天后结束
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

76%

Moonshot

$65k 交易量
$9k 流动性
6 天后结束
W
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Tech·AI

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

13%

Yes

$3k 交易量
$663 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Politics·AI Regulation

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

11%

Yes

$167k 交易量
$39k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
Oscars: Best Animated Feature Film

Culture·All

Oscars: Best Animated Feature Film

The Boy and the Heron

$17k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
W
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?

Tech·Figure

Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?

No

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

Tech·Figure

# of Packages Pushed by Figure's F.03 Robots by May 21, 10 PM ET?

200,000+

$403k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束

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