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Public Opinion 预测与赔率· 228 个市场

全部PoliticsCryptoDeprec USA ElectionIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpElectionsMiddle EastIsraelRegulationSam AltmanChinaToken LaunchCaliforniaAIReferendumOpenAIAnthropicPublic HealthIPOsHealth CrisisChinese Pneumonia OutbreakWhoDiseasesEmergencyBoxingUS ElectionTechGeopoliticsJake PaulDeepSeekWorldBig TechIPOPublic SalesClaudeCalifornia MidtermMoonshotOpenAI IPOAnthropic IPODarioAI ReleasesAI RegulationASISafe SuperintelligenceHu JintaoAstraJumperAI Safety
U
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

17%

Yes

$38k 交易量
$3k 流动性
3 个月后结束
M
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

Geopolitics·Middle East

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

19%

December 31

$7.2m 交易量
$114k 流动性
409
3 个月后结束
T
Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion

Crypto·Jumper

Total commitments for the Jumper ($JUMP) public sale on Legion

99%

>2M

$3k 交易量
$5k 流动性
10 天后结束
S
SSI public model released by…?

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

71%

December 31

$119k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

Politics·China

Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?

8%

Yes

$7k 交易量
$9k 流动性
5
3 个月后结束
W
What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

Finance·IPOs

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

43%

$ANTH

$111k 交易量
$13k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
U
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

16%

Yes

$53k 交易量
$5k 流动性
4
3 个月后结束
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Tech·AI

Astra removed from public access by...?

9%

October 31

$3k 交易量
$1k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
U
US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

Tech·AI

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

9%

Yes

$35k 交易量
$6k 流动性
1
3 个月后结束
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

Politics·California

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 交易量
$1k 流动性
6 个月后结束
W
What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

Finance·OpenAI

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

63%

$OAI

$15k 交易量
$8k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

Politics·Boxing

Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?

16%

Yes

$16k 交易量
$227 流动性
7
3 个月后结束
I
In which month will Anthropic IPO?

Finance·AI

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

55%

November 2026

$271k 交易量
$65k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Finance·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

80%

Morgan Stanley

$69k 交易量
$14k 流动性
1
超过 1 年后结束
L
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

IPOs · OpenAI

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

78%

Goldman Sachs

$54k 交易量
$21k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

All · who

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023?

No

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday?

All

Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday?

No

$8k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

All · token launch

Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first?

$11k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?

All

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30?

No

$5k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
R
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

Tech·China

Ren Zhengfei public appearance by...?

September 30

$18k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
3 个月后结束

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