Outages 预测与赔率· 162 个市场

#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in September 2026?

59%

2

$13k 交易量
$8k 流动性
7 天后结束
C
ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

35%

October 31

$18k 交易量
$252 流动性
7 天后结束
C
Critical Discord Incident by...?

Critical Discord Incident by...?

30%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$736 流动性
7 天后结束
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m 交易量
$299 流动性
135
3 个月后结束
F
Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

21%

Yes

$114 交易量
$157 流动性
3 个月后结束
A
Astra removed from public access by...?

Astra removed from public access by...?

4%

October 31

$3k 交易量
$2k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

41%

October 31

$75k 交易量
$19k 流动性
大约 1 个月后结束
A
AWS service disrupted by...?

AWS service disrupted by...?

50%

Yes

$10k 交易量
$2 流动性
7 天后结束
W
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?

All

Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022?

$50k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
W
Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?

All

Will Twitter report any outages by January 6, 2023?

$1k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
U
US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

US mobile/internet outages caused by Iran?

No

$101k 交易量
$0 流动性
1
已结束
J
June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

Culture · Tech

June 12 internet outages caused by a hack?

No

$14k 交易量
$0 流动性
8
已结束
I
Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

Iran behind June 12 internet outages?

No

$53k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in August 2026?

<3

$10k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?

4

$49k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in June 2026?

4+

$38k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
#
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

<2

$40k 交易量
$0 流动性
已结束
A
archCloudflare outage caused by state actor?

No

$123k 交易量
$0 流动性
2
已结束
C
Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

Cellular outage on Jan 14 caused by a hack?

No

$21k 交易量
$0 流动性
3
已结束
C
CrowdStrike outage fixed by Noon?

Breaking News · CrowdStrike

CrowdStrike outage fixed by Noon?

No

$17k 交易量
$0 流动性
23
已结束