Openai 预测与赔率· 263 个市场

W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$416k 交易量
$9k 流动性
43
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$234k 交易量
$35k 流动性
4
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

96%

Anthropic

$384k 交易量
$40k 流动性
3
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

20%

December 31, 2029

$50k 交易量
$1.7m 流动性
4
超过 3 年后结束
O
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

83%

October 31

$11k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
H
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

78%

55%+

$108k 交易量
$7k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

98%

November 30

$47k 交易量
$6k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

96%

No IPO by December 31, 2026

$2.3m 交易量
$149k 流动性
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

14%

Yes

$265k 交易量
$23k 流动性
30
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

41%

December 31, 2026

$1k 交易量
$1k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

66%

1.5T+

$335k 交易量
$78k 流动性
超过 1 年后结束
O
OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

57%

June 30, 2027

$3.0m 交易量
$97k 流动性
14
3 个月后结束
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k 交易量
$3k 流动性
2
3 个月后结束
O
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

93%

$800B

$1.5m 交易量
$21k 流动性
2
超过 1 年后结束
W
Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

4%

Yes

$9k 交易量
$624 流动性
3 个月后结束
N
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

95%

November 30

$11k 交易量
$2k 流动性
2 个月后结束
O
OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

OpenAI resets Codex weekly usage limit by...?

86%

September 24

$6k 交易量
$1k 流动性
4 天后结束
O
OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

79%

October 31, 2026

$3k 交易量
$3k 流动性
1
大约 1 个月后结束
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

19%

Glasses

$435k 交易量
$22k 流动性
13
3 个月后结束
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

88%

Anthropic

$82k 交易量
$7k 流动性
4 个月后结束